๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Ice Hockey

Team

32 team lists ยท 873 player entries ยท avg team size 27.3

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +18.8 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
81.3%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
62.4%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+18.8 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
32
teams analysed
Why it matters: Small sample: treat the rate as a lead, not a verdict.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Ice Hockey, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, SWE has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 27.4.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Men have the larger average team size here (27.3 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
CAN1427.771.4%
USA624.583.3%
SWE527.4100.0%
FIN326.0100.0%
RUS230.5100.0%
DNK127.00.0%
LVA135.0100.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Men3281.3%62.4%+18.8 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
BUF ยท CAN2025-202637184.9%
PHI ยท LVA2025-202635181.4%
VGK ยท RUS2025-202635281.4%
UTA ยท CAN2025-202634279.5%
ANA ยท SWE2025-202632375.3%
CGY ยท SWE2025-202631173.0%
MTL ยท CAN2025-202629168.1%
DAL ยท CAN2025-202628365.4%
PIT ยท USA2025-202628165.4%
FLA ยท FIN2025-202627262.7%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.