๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey)

Team

20 team lists ยท 141 player entries ยท avg team size 7.0

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +4.0 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
10.0%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
6.0%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+4.0 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
20
teams analysed
Why it matters: Small sample: treat the rate as a lead, not a verdict.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey), charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Women have the larger average team size here (7.6 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
AUS16.00.0%
AUT19.00.0%
CHN15.00.0%
CZE16.00.0%
ESP17.00.0%
FRA18.00.0%
GBR17.00.0%
HUN19.00.0%
ITA19.00.0%
JPN18.00.0%
KOR17.00.0%
MEX16.00.0%
NED17.0100.0%
NOR18.00.0%
NZL15.00.0%
POL16.00.0%
RUS19.00.0%
SUI19.00.0%
SVK15.0100.0%
TPE15.00.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women120.0%6.9%-6.9 points
Men825.0%4.6%+20.4 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
NED 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท NED2020 Winter715.6%
SVK 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท SVK2020 Winter512.7%
ITA 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท ITA2020 Winter909.5%
RUS 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท RUS2020 Winter909.5%
AUT 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท AUT2020 Winter909.5%
SUI 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท SUI2020 Winter909.5%
HUN 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท HUN2020 Winter909.5%
NOR 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท NOR2020 Winter807.4%
FRA 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท FRA2020 Winter807.4%
JPN 3-on-3 Ice Hockey (Ice Hockey) (2020 Winter) ยท JPN2020 Winter807.4%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.