๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics)

Delegation

392 team lists ยท 4,436 player entries ยท avg team size 11.3

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +1.6 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
17.3%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
15.8%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+1.6 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
392
teams analysed
Why it matters: Enough team lists for a useful sport-level read.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics), charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, GER has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 10.4.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Men have the larger average team size here (12.2 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
FRA2613.226.9%
ITA2412.016.7%
USA2315.726.1%
GBR2112.414.3%
JPN1910.20.0%
GER1810.433.3%
HUN1612.618.8%
ROU1610.812.5%
TCH1511.613.3%
SUI147.37.1%
BUL1310.215.4%
CAN128.98.3%
FIN1211.316.7%
ESP128.70.0%
KOR117.39.1%
CHN1011.320.0%
NED99.933.3%
URS912.455.6%
POL910.311.1%
SWE915.733.3%
YUG910.211.1%
AUS87.625.0%
LUX79.10.0%
UKR79.014.3%
NOR620.716.7%
RUS611.733.3%
BRA56.80.0%
DEN525.660.0%
CUB57.440.0%
FRG511.20.0%
GDR512.00.0%
AUT412.80.0%
BEL411.525.0%
PRK48.80.0%
BLR311.00.0%
TPE26.00.0%
MEX29.50.0%
EGY15.00.0%
EUN112.0100.0%
GRE18.00.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women24815.3%14.4%+0.9 points
Men14420.8%18.2%+2.6 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
USA Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1904 Summer) ยท USA1904 Summer898100.0%
FRA Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1900 Summer) ยท FRA1900 Summer52397.8%
DEN Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1912 Summer) ยท DEN1912 Summer48196.1%
DEN Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1920 Summer) ยท DEN1920 Summer44393.3%
GBR Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1908 Summer) ยท GBR1908 Summer44493.3%
SWE Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1908 Summer) ยท SWE1908 Summer37284.9%
FRA Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1908 Summer) ยท FRA1908 Summer36183.2%
ITA Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1908 Summer) ยท ITA1908 Summer30370.6%
FIN Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1908 Summer) ยท FIN1908 Summer29268.1%
BEL Artistic Gymnastics (Gymnastics) (1920 Summer) ยท BEL1920 Summer27262.7%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.