๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Boxing

Delegation

579 team lists ยท 4,358 player entries ยท avg team size 7.5

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +3.1 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
10.2%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
7.1%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+3.1 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
579
teams analysed
Why it matters: Enough team lists for a useful sport-level read.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Boxing, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, GBR has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 10.4.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Men have the larger average team size here (7.5 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
USA2510.716.0%
ITA237.74.3%
GBR2210.436.4%
FRA217.60.0%
IRL186.711.1%
ARG157.86.7%
POL158.220.0%
CAN157.70.0%
HUN146.67.1%
CUB149.87.1%
AUS138.20.0%
KOR137.70.0%
THA126.30.0%
ALG116.90.0%
BUL117.79.1%
GER118.718.2%
TUR116.436.4%
PUR116.918.2%
ROU118.79.1%
BRA106.90.0%
ESP96.20.0%
URS910.80.0%
MAR96.933.3%
MEX96.70.0%
FIN96.111.1%
VEN87.112.5%
RSA86.512.5%
KAZ89.012.5%
COL85.40.0%
EGY86.312.5%
NGR86.40.0%
PHI85.40.0%
UZB89.037.5%
DEN87.012.5%
UGA77.70.0%
SWE76.10.0%
JPN76.40.0%
UKR76.928.6%
DOM75.914.3%
NED76.60.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women2536.0%7.1%+28.9 points
Men5549.0%7.1%+1.9 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
USA Boxing (1904 Summer) ยท USA1904 Summer17131.5%
GBR Boxing (1920 Summer) ยท GBR1920 Summer15125.3%
NOR Boxing (1920 Summer) ยท NOR1920 Summer14122.3%
CUB Boxing (2000 Summer) ยท CUB2000 Summer12116.7%
EUN Boxing (1992 Summer) ยท EUN1992 Summer12116.7%
USA Boxing (1984 Summer) ยท USA1984 Summer12116.7%
GBR Boxing (2016 Summer) ยท GBR2016 Summer12116.7%
KEN Boxing (1988 Summer) ยท KEN1988 Summer11114.1%
POL Boxing (1980 Summer) ยท POL1980 Summer11114.1%
POL Boxing (1976 Summer) ยท POL1976 Summer11214.1%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.