๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Canoe Sprint (Canoeing)

Delegation

338 team lists ยท 3,283 player entries ยท avg team size 9.7

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +2.5 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
14.8%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
12.3%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+2.5 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
338
teams analysed
Why it matters: Enough team lists for a useful sport-level read.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Canoe Sprint (Canoeing), charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, USA has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 11.5.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Women have the larger average team size here (10.7 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
CAN1810.511.1%
FRA189.427.8%
HUN1713.223.5%
AUS1710.211.8%
POL1511.926.7%
GBR159.420.0%
USA1511.533.3%
SWE159.30.0%
ROU1510.80.0%
GER1313.123.1%
ESP139.57.7%
ITA118.618.2%
TCH108.40.0%
BUL99.30.0%
DEN96.10.0%
AUT86.30.0%
URS812.950.0%
NOR87.025.0%
JPN76.914.3%
SVK78.028.6%
UKR68.80.0%
FIN66.316.7%
RUS611.30.0%
NZL66.30.0%
CHN611.850.0%
GDR512.420.0%
FRG513.620.0%
BEL57.20.0%
BLR59.20.0%
CUB45.30.0%
CZE49.50.0%
POR46.80.0%
KAZ38.00.0%
NED36.00.0%
MEX38.30.0%
ARG28.50.0%
SRB211.00.0%
UZB212.0100.0%
HKG26.50.0%
KOR210.50.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women20617.5%14.5%+2.9 points
Men13210.6%8.8%+1.8 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
HUN Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (1996 Summer) ยท HUN1996 Summer19137.9%
CHN Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (2008 Summer) ยท CHN2008 Summer18134.7%
URS Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (1988 Summer) ยท URS1988 Summer17131.5%
GBR Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (1988 Summer) ยท GBR1988 Summer17131.5%
GER Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (2004 Summer) ยท GER2004 Summer17131.5%
GER Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (2008 Summer) ยท GER2008 Summer17131.5%
UZB Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (1996 Summer) ยท UZB1996 Summer17131.5%
FRA Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (1992 Summer) ยท FRA1992 Summer16128.4%
FRA Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (1988 Summer) ยท FRA1988 Summer16128.4%
HUN Canoe Sprint (Canoeing) (2004 Summer) ยท HUN2004 Summer16328.4%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.