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Olympic Curling
Team
81 team lists · 659 player entries · avg team size 8.1
Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +2.9 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.
Real team lists
11.1%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
8.2%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+2.9 points
real − expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
81
teams analysed
Why it matters: Enough team lists for a useful sport-level read.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.
Country comparison
Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Curling, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.
What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, SWE has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 8.9.
Gender split inside this sport
Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.
Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Women have the larger average team size here (8.4 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.
By country
Top 40 countries by team-list count.
| Country | Team lists | Avg players | Real |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 8 | 7.8 | 25.0% |
| SWE | 8 | 8.9 | 37.5% |
| CAN | 7 | 10.0 | 28.6% |
| JPN | 7 | 6.3 | 0.0% |
| GBR | 7 | 9.4 | 14.3% |
| SUI | 7 | 9.3 | 0.0% |
| USA | 7 | 9.3 | 0.0% |
| NOR | 6 | 7.5 | 0.0% |
| GER | 5 | 8.0 | 0.0% |
| CHN | 4 | 8.3 | 0.0% |
| KOR | 3 | 7.3 | 33.3% |
| ITA | 3 | 6.3 | 0.0% |
| RUS | 3 | 6.7 | 0.0% |
| ROC | 2 | 8.5 | 0.0% |
| FRA | 2 | 5.0 | 0.0% |
| FIN | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0% |
| NZL | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0% |
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.
By gender
Where the dataset records it.
| Gender | Team lists | Real | Expected | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Women | 53 | 7.5% | 8.8% | -1.3 points |
| Men | 28 | 17.9% | 7.2% | +10.7 points |
Sample team lists
Largest teams in the dataset.
| Team | Season | Players | Repeats | Expected chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAN Curling (2018 Winter) · CAN | 2018 Winter | 12 | 1 | 16.7% |
| KOR Curling (2018 Winter) · KOR | 2018 Winter | 12 | 1 | 16.7% |
| CAN Curling (2022 Winter) · CAN | 2022 Winter | 11 | 1 | 14.1% |
| DEN Curling (2002 Winter) · DEN | 2002 Winter | 10 | 1 | 11.7% |
| GBR Curling (2002 Winter) · GBR | 2002 Winter | 10 | 1 | 11.7% |
| DEN Curling (2018 Winter) · DEN | 2018 Winter | 9 | 1 | 9.5% |
| SWE Curling (2018 Winter) · SWE | 2018 Winter | 9 | 1 | 9.5% |
| SWE Curling (1924 Winter) · SWE | 1924 Winter | 8 | 1 | 7.4% |
| SWE Curling (2022 Winter) · SWE | 2022 Winter | 8 | 1 | 7.4% |
| SUI Curling (2022 Winter) · SUI | 2022 Winter | 12 | 0 | 16.7% |
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.