← All sports
Olympic Cycling Road
Delegation
13 team lists · 85 player entries · avg team size 6.5
Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +2.7 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.
Real team lists
7.7%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
5.0%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+2.7 points
real − expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
13
teams analysed
Why it matters: Small sample: treat the rate as a lead, not a verdict.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.
Country comparison
Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Cycling Road, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.
Gender split inside this sport
Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.
Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Women have the larger average team size here (6.7 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.
By country
Top 40 countries by team-list count.
| Country | Team lists | Avg players | Real |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUS | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0% |
| BEL | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0% |
| DEN | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0% |
| ESP | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0% |
| FRA | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0% |
| GBR | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0% |
| GER | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0% |
| ITA | 1 | 8.0 | 100.0% |
| NED | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0% |
| POL | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0% |
| SLO | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0% |
| SUI | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0% |
| USA | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0% |
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.
By gender
Where the dataset records it.
| Gender | Team lists | Real | Expected | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Women | 6 | 0.0% | 5.2% | -5.2 points |
| Men | 7 | 14.3% | 4.8% | +9.5 points |
Sample team lists
Largest teams in the dataset.
| Team | Season | Players | Repeats | Expected chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITA Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · ITA | 2024 Summer | 8 | 1 | 7.4% |
| BEL Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · BEL | 2024 Summer | 8 | 0 | 7.4% |
| DEN Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · DEN | 2024 Summer | 7 | 0 | 5.6% |
| FRA Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · FRA | 2024 Summer | 7 | 0 | 5.6% |
| GBR Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · GBR | 2024 Summer | 7 | 0 | 5.6% |
| AUS Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · AUS | 2024 Summer | 7 | 0 | 5.6% |
| NED Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · NED | 2024 Summer | 7 | 0 | 5.6% |
| SUI Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · SUI | 2024 Summer | 7 | 0 | 5.6% |
| GER Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · GER | 2024 Summer | 6 | 0 | 4.0% |
| SLO Cycling Road (2024 Summer) · SLO | 2024 Summer | 6 | 0 | 4.0% |
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.