๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Diving (Aquatics)

Delegation

174 team lists ยท 1,384 player entries ยท avg team size 8.0

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is -2.2 points below the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
5.7%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
8.0%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
-2.2 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Negative means this sport is quieter than team size alone predicts.
Team lists
174
teams analysed
Why it matters: Enough team lists for a useful sport-level read.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Diving (Aquatics), charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, CHN has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 9.3.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Men have the larger average team size here (8.5 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
USA239.60.0%
GBR217.80.0%
MEX156.86.7%
GER137.87.7%
CAN127.80.0%
CHN109.340.0%
AUS107.50.0%
URS99.011.1%
UKR77.428.6%
ITA66.70.0%
RUS68.00.0%
SWE514.820.0%
GDR47.30.0%
FRA47.00.0%
FRG37.30.0%
JPN38.30.0%
MAS36.30.0%
CUB35.70.0%
KAZ25.50.0%
ESP25.00.0%
FIN26.00.0%
GRE26.50.0%
DEN15.00.0%
EUN17.00.0%
BLR15.00.0%
BRA19.00.0%
KOR15.00.0%
NED17.00.0%
ROC17.00.0%
POL15.00.0%
PRK15.00.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women1445.6%7.7%-2.2 points
Men306.7%9.1%-2.5 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
SWE Diving (Aquatics) (1912 Summer) ยท SWE1912 Summer34179.5%
CHN Diving (Aquatics) (2016 Summer) ยท CHN2016 Summer13119.4%
MEX Diving (Aquatics) (2020 Summer) ยท MEX2020 Summer13119.4%
CHN Diving (Aquatics) (2012 Summer) ยท CHN2012 Summer11114.1%
CHN Diving (Aquatics) (2020 Summer) ยท CHN2020 Summer10111.7%
URS Diving (Aquatics) (1972 Summer) ยท URS1972 Summer919.5%
GER Diving (Aquatics) (2008 Summer) ยท GER2008 Summer919.5%
UKR Diving (Aquatics) (2008 Summer) ยท UKR2008 Summer919.5%
CHN Diving (Aquatics) (1992 Summer) ยท CHN1992 Summer817.4%
UKR Diving (Aquatics) (2020 Summer) ยท UKR2020 Summer512.7%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.