๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Golf

Delegation

8 team lists ยท 119 player entries ยท avg team size 14.9

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +6.7 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
25.0%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
18.3%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+6.7 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
8
teams analysed
Why it matters: Small sample: treat the rate as a lead, not a verdict.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Golf, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Men have the larger average team size here (26.7 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
USA422.525.0%
KOR35.70.0%
FRA112.0100.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women520.0%7.6%+12.4 points
Men333.3%36.1%-2.7 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
USA Golf (1904 Summer) ยท USA1904 Summer68899.9%
FRA Golf (1900 Summer) ยท FRA1900 Summer12116.7%
USA Golf (2020 Summer) ยท USA2020 Summer807.4%
USA Golf (2016 Summer) ยท USA2016 Summer705.6%
USA Golf (2024 Summer) ยท USA2024 Summer705.6%
KOR Golf (2016 Summer) ยท KOR2016 Summer604.0%
KOR Golf (2020 Summer) ยท KOR2020 Summer604.0%
KOR Golf (2024 Summer) ยท KOR2024 Summer502.7%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.