๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Hockey

Team

309 team lists ยท 6,167 player entries ยท avg team size 20.0

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +8.9 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
48.9%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
39.9%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+8.9 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
309
teams analysed
Why it matters: Enough team lists for a useful sport-level read.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Hockey, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, NED has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 23.5.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Women have the larger average team size here (26.1 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
IND2217.831.8%
GBR2123.752.4%
NED2123.576.2%
ESP2021.640.0%
AUS1825.350.0%
BEL1716.917.6%
GER1724.264.7%
PAK1614.743.8%
NZL1523.540.0%
ARG1424.271.4%
JPN1115.036.4%
USA1118.254.5%
FRA916.455.6%
CAN919.244.4%
MAS815.937.5%
KOR828.087.5%
KEN814.825.0%
RSA824.350.0%
CHN718.785.7%
FRG523.020.0%
DEN514.420.0%
POL518.880.0%
SUI412.025.0%
AUT412.325.0%
IRL316.333.3%
URS223.5100.0%
EGY215.50.0%
ZIM215.050.0%
ITA216.00.0%
MEX217.5100.0%
AFG112.0100.0%
CUB116.0100.0%
BRA116.0100.0%
EUN115.0100.0%
GDR115.00.0%
HUN116.00.0%
HKG117.0100.0%
FIN111.00.0%
MAL16.00.0%
TCH116.0100.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women9168.1%57.8%+10.3 points
Men21840.8%32.5%+8.4 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
GBR Hockey (1908 Summer) ยท GBR1908 Summer43292.4%
GER Hockey (2012 Summer) ยท GER2012 Summer36383.2%
GER Hockey (2016 Summer) ยท GER2016 Summer36383.2%
GER Hockey (2020 Summer) ยท GER2020 Summer36383.2%
GBR Hockey (2020 Summer) ยท GBR2020 Summer36183.2%
GER Hockey (2008 Summer) ยท GER2008 Summer35381.4%
NED Hockey (2008 Summer) ยท NED2008 Summer35381.4%
GBR Hockey (2008 Summer) ยท GBR2008 Summer35481.4%
NZL Hockey (2008 Summer) ยท NZL2008 Summer35181.4%
NED Hockey (2012 Summer) ยท NED2012 Summer34379.5%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.