๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Rowing

Delegation(571 delegation ยท 14 team)

585 team lists ยท 9,790 player entries ยท avg team size 16.7

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +1.5 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
32.0%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
30.5%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+1.5 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
585
teams analysed
Why it matters: Enough team lists for a useful sport-level read.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Rowing, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, FRA has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 17.7.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Women have the larger average team size here (21.9 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
GBR2826.867.9%
CAN2721.337.0%
USA2732.459.3%
ITA2620.330.8%
FRA2617.773.1%
NED2420.329.2%
AUS2324.143.5%
DEN2212.413.6%
SUI2010.810.0%
ROU1918.421.1%
POL1916.442.1%
GER1829.544.4%
NZL1715.941.2%
BEL168.66.3%
NOR1610.318.8%
HUN1510.920.0%
ARG1510.626.7%
AUT138.515.4%
TCH1317.823.1%
JPN1211.316.7%
CUB129.28.3%
SWE1110.40.0%
CHN1017.520.0%
ESP1011.730.0%
RSA106.920.0%
YUG1011.720.0%
BRA910.633.3%
URS933.766.7%
IRL88.025.0%
BUL819.862.5%
FIN89.012.5%
BLR611.00.0%
UKR613.30.0%
GRE67.016.7%
CZE610.733.3%
SLO58.00.0%
CRO57.80.0%
FRG533.680.0%
RUS516.020.0%
GDR541.0100.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women18144.8%42.4%+2.4 points
Men40426.2%25.2%+1.0 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
GDR Rowing (1980 Summer) ยท GDR1980 Summer55698.6%
GDR Rowing (1976 Summer) ยท GDR1976 Summer54898.4%
GER Rowing (1992 Summer) ยท GER1992 Summer54698.4%
URS Rowing (1980 Summer) ยท URS1980 Summer54798.4%
USA Rowing (1984 Summer) ยท USA1984 Summer54398.4%
USA Rowing (1976 Summer) ยท USA1976 Summer54198.4%
URS Rowing (1988 Summer) ยท URS1988 Summer53398.1%
CAN Rowing (1984 Summer) ยท CAN1984 Summer53498.1%
BUL Rowing (1980 Summer) ยท BUL1980 Summer52497.8%
USA Rowing (1992 Summer) ยท USA1992 Summer52497.8%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.