๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Tennis

Delegation

157 team lists ยท 1,141 player entries ยท avg team size 7.3

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is +1.5 points above the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
8.3%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
6.8%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
+1.5 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Positive means the sport has more birthday matches than size alone predicts.
Team lists
157
teams analysed
Why it matters: Enough team lists for a useful sport-level read.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Tennis, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

What to compare: This view is best for spotting sample-shape differences inside a sport. Among the highest-sample countries, USA has the highest observed rate, with an average team size of 11.2.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Men have the larger average team size here (7.4 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
FRA128.88.3%
USA1111.236.4%
GBR108.920.0%
ESP98.433.3%
ARG96.70.0%
ITA96.70.0%
AUS97.90.0%
GER67.00.0%
CZE67.70.0%
JPN56.80.0%
RUS58.20.0%
SWE57.80.0%
RSA45.50.0%
HUN45.00.0%
CAN45.80.0%
CRO35.00.0%
BEL38.70.0%
CHN36.00.0%
TCH35.00.0%
SVK35.70.0%
SRB35.70.0%
ROU35.30.0%
POL36.70.0%
NED35.00.0%
IND26.50.0%
BRA26.00.0%
DEN27.50.0%
KOR25.050.0%
BOH19.00.0%
AUT15.00.0%
BLR15.00.0%
EUN15.00.0%
INA15.00.0%
FRG15.00.0%
MEX15.00.0%
KAZ16.0100.0%
NOR17.00.0%
ROC16.00.0%
SUI15.00.0%
TPE15.00.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Women1068.5%6.6%+1.9 points
Men517.8%7.2%+0.6 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
USA Tennis (2012 Summer) ยท USA2012 Summer12116.7%
ESP Tennis (2012 Summer) ยท ESP2012 Summer12116.7%
FRA Tennis (1912 Summer) ยท FRA1912 Summer10111.7%
USA Tennis (2008 Summer) ยท USA2008 Summer10211.7%
USA Tennis (2004 Summer) ยท USA2004 Summer10111.7%
ESP Tennis (2016 Summer) ยท ESP2016 Summer919.5%
ESP Tennis (2020 Summer) ยท ESP2020 Summer817.4%
USA Tennis (1992 Summer) ยท USA1992 Summer715.6%
GBR Tennis (2000 Summer) ยท GBR2000 Summer614.0%
KAZ Tennis (2020 Summer) ยท KAZ2020 Summer614.0%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.