๐ŸŽ‚ Birthday Paradox ยท Sports
โ† All sports

Olympic Tug-Of-War

Delegation

8 team lists ยท 79 player entries ยท avg team size 9.9

Read this sport as a comparison between raw coincidence and what team size alone predicts. Here, the real rate is -12.3 points below the birthday-paradox baseline.

Real team lists
0.0%
teams with shared birthdays
Why it matters: This is the headline rate, but it should never be read without team size.
Expected from size
12.3%
from avg team size
Why it matters: This is the fair baseline: what same-size random teams would do.
Gap from expected
-12.3 points
real โˆ’ expected
Why it matters: Negative means this sport is quieter than team size alone predicts.
Team lists
8
teams analysed
Why it matters: Small sample: treat the rate as a lead, not a verdict.
What to notice: The best question on a sport page is not "is the real rate high?" but "is it high after accounting for team size?" That is what the gap card is answering.

Country comparison

Countries with the most team lists for Olympic Tug-Of-War, charted by the share of teams with at least one shared birthday.

Gender split inside this sport

Real and expected rates for labelled team lists in this sport.

Why it matters: The gender gap is mostly a team-size story. Men have the larger average team size here (9.9 athletes), so their birthday-match rate naturally rises.

By country

Top 40 countries by team-list count.

CountryTeam listsAvg playersReal
GBR312.00.0%
SWE28.00.0%
USA29.50.0%
NED18.00.0%
What to notice: Countries with larger average teams will naturally show more shared birthdays. The country list is most useful for finding which samples are driving this sport's overall rate.

By gender

Where the dataset records it.

GenderTeam listsRealExpectedGap
Men80.0%12.3%-12.3 points

Sample team lists

Largest teams in the dataset.

TeamSeasonPlayersRepeatsExpected chance
GBR Tug-Of-War (1908 Summer) ยท GBR1908 Summer19037.9%
USA Tug-Of-War (1904 Summer) ยท USA1904 Summer11014.1%
GBR Tug-Of-War (1920 Summer) ยท GBR1920 Summer909.5%
GBR Tug-Of-War (1912 Summer) ยท GBR1912 Summer807.4%
NED Tug-Of-War (1920 Summer) ยท NED1920 Summer807.4%
SWE Tug-Of-War (1908 Summer) ยท SWE1908 Summer807.4%
SWE Tug-Of-War (1912 Summer) ยท SWE1912 Summer807.4%
USA Tug-Of-War (1920 Summer) ยท USA1920 Summer807.4%
What to notice: The sample team lists show the mechanics: once the player count gets large, the expected chance climbs quickly, and each repeat is another player landing on a date already present.